Language:English
Atlante FC v Toluca
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlante FC (Local)
Prediction 17.89%5.59fair odd
EV +3.78%
Edge +0.652%
Kelly +0.788%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.27%17.86%17.86%19.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.205.255.8021.74%19.23%19.05%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toluca (Visit)
Prediction 58.91%1.70fair odd
EV -0.439%
Edge -0.259%
Kelly -0.636%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.78%58.92%58.98%61.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.551.551.6971.43%64.66%64.52%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.19%4.31fair odd
EV -0.264%
Edge -0.061%
Kelly -0.080%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.76%23.22%23.16%25.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.004.004.3027.40%25.02%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlante FC (Local): 17.89%; Toluca (Visit): 58.91%; Draw: 23.19%. For Atlante FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.59. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +3.78%E +0.652%K +0.788%G +0.030% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.32%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.89%E +0.502%K +0.608%G +0.018% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -11.04%E -7.31%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -0.264%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.89%E +0.502%K +0.608%G +0.018% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -11.04%E -7.31%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -0.264%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV +0.203%E +0.036%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.53I 18.08%NM 16.96%EV -1.05%E -0.190%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.36%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.68%EV -8.15%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:52 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.67%EV -2.30%E -0.422%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.19%EV -3.97%E -2.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.14%EV -3.28%E -0.786%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -5.17%E -0.975%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -5.17%E -0.975%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -13.40%E -9.12%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.17%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -0.439%E -0.259%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -11.16%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -6.33%E -3.98%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.33%E -3.98%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -14.58%E -10.05%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -14.58%E -10.05%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -15.17%E -10.53%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.91%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.85%EV -3.74%E -0.902%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.86%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.81%EV -8.74%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.22%EV -17.52%E -12.52%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.86%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.02%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.32%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.32%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -12.32%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.08%EV -11.04%E -7.31%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -15.34%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -15.01%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -13.02%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.59%EV -15.01%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.35%EV -9.28%E -6.02%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.06%EV -14.88%E -4.05%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -17.69%E -3.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.52% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.69% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.88% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |