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Atlante FC v Toluca
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Atlante FC (Хозяева)
Прогноз 17.89%5.59справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.78%
Преимущество +0.652%
Kelly +0.788%
Рост +0.030%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.27%17.86%17.86%19.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.605.205.255.8021.74%19.23%19.05%17.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Toluca (Гости)
Прогноз 58.91%1.70справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.439%
Преимущество -0.259%
Kelly -0.636%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.69
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.78%58.92%58.98%61.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.551.551.6971.43%64.66%64.52%59.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 23.19%4.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.264%
Преимущество -0.061%
Kelly -0.080%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.76%23.22%23.16%25.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.654.004.004.3027.40%25.02%25.00%23.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Atlante FC (Хозяева): 17.89%; Toluca (Гости): 58.91%; Ничья: 23.19%. Для исхода «Atlante FC (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.59. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.80, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.78%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +3.78%E +0.652%K +0.788%G +0.030% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.32%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.89%E +0.502%K +0.608%G +0.018% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -11.04%E -7.31%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -0.264%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.89%E +0.502%K +0.608%G +0.018% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -11.04%E -7.31%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -0.264%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV +0.203%E +0.036%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.53I 18.08%NM 16.96%EV -1.05%E -0.190%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.36%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.68%EV -8.15%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:52 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.67%EV -2.30%E -0.422%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.19%EV -3.97%E -2.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.14%EV -3.28%E -0.786%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -5.17%E -0.975%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -5.17%E -0.975%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -13.40%E -9.12%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.17%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -0.439%E -0.259%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -11.16%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -6.33%E -3.98%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.33%E -3.98%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -14.58%E -10.05%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -14.58%E -10.05%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -15.17%E -10.53%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.91%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.85%EV -3.74%E -0.902%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.86%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.81%EV -8.74%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.22%EV -17.52%E -12.52%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.86%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.02%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.32%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.32%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -12.32%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.08%EV -11.04%E -7.31%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -15.34%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -15.01%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -13.02%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.59%EV -15.01%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.35%EV -9.28%E -6.02%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.06%EV -14.88%E -4.05%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -17.69%E -3.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.52% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.69% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.88% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |