StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Atlante FC v Toluca

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 23:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Atlante FC 0–0 Toluca

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Atlante FC (Hemma)

Prognos 17.89%5.59rättvist odds
EV +3.78%
Fördel +0.652%
Kelly +0.788%
Tillväxt +0.030%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.27%17.86%17.86%19.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.605.205.255.8021.74%19.23%19.05%17.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Toluca (Borta)

Prognos 58.91%1.70rättvist odds
EV -0.439%
Fördel -0.259%
Kelly -0.636%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.69

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.78%58.92%58.98%61.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.401.551.551.6971.43%64.66%64.52%59.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.19%4.31rättvist odds
EV -0.264%
Fördel -0.061%
Kelly -0.080%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.76%23.22%23.16%25.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.654.004.004.3027.40%25.02%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Atlante FC (Hemma): 17.89%; Toluca (Borta): 58.91%; Oavgjort: 23.19%. För Atlante FC (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.59. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.80, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.78%.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +3.78%E +0.652%K +0.788%G +0.030%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.32%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.89%E +0.502%K +0.608%G +0.018%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -11.04%E -7.31%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -0.264%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.89%E +0.502%K +0.608%G +0.018%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -11.04%E -7.31%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -0.264%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 22:54
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV +0.203%E +0.036%K +0.044%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 22:34
GTbets🎯5.53I 18.08%NM 16.96%EV -1.05%E -0.190%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.36%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.68%EV -8.15%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 22:39
betPARX🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 22:52
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 22:54
Grosvenor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 22:54
Casumo🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 22:54
Unibet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 22:54
Pinnacle🎯5.46I 18.32%NM 17.67%EV -2.30%E -0.422%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.19%EV -3.97%E -2.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.14%EV -3.28%E -0.786%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -5.17%E -0.975%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 22:53
TABtouch🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -5.17%E -0.975%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -13.40%E -9.12%K -28.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 22:54
1xBet🎯5.28I 18.94%NM 18.17%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -0.439%E -0.259%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -11.16%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 22:49
DraftKings🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -6.33%E -3.98%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 22:40
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.33%E -3.98%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 22:39
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 22:54
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 22:44
Virgin Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -14.58%E -10.05%K -32.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -14.58%E -10.05%K -32.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -15.17%E -10.53%K -34.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 22:50
BetUS🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.91%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.85%EV -3.74%E -0.902%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 22:54
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 22:54
SportsBet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.86%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 22:54
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 22:45
PMU (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 16.81%EV -8.74%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.22%EV -17.52%E -12.52%K -43.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-15 22:54
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 22:54
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 22:45
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 22:40
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 22:54
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.86%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 22:54
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.02%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 22:45
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.32%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 22:40
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.32%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 22:40
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -12.32%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.08%EV -11.04%E -7.31%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -15.34%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 22:54
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 22:34
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 22:34
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 22:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 22:34
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -15.01%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -13.02%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 22:54
Betclic (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.59%EV -15.01%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.35%EV -9.28%E -6.02%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 24.06%EV -14.88%E -4.05%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 22:53
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -17.69%E -3.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 22:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 17.52%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.69%0.2%2026-08-15 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-08-15 22:54
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%0.9%2026-08-15 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-08-15 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.2%2026-08-15 22:55
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 17.88%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-08-15 22:55