Idioma:Español
Atlante FC v Toluca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlante FC (Local)
Predicción 17.89%5.59momio equitativo
EV +3.78%
Ventaja +0.652%
Kelly +0.788%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.27%17.86%17.86%19.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.205.255.8021.74%19.23%19.05%17.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Toluca (Visitante)
Predicción 58.91%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.439%
Ventaja -0.259%
Kelly -0.636%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.78%58.92%58.98%61.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.551.551.6971.43%64.66%64.52%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.19%4.31momio equitativo
EV -0.264%
Ventaja -0.061%
Kelly -0.080%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.76%23.22%23.16%25.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.654.004.004.3027.40%25.02%25.00%23.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlante FC (Local): 17.89%; Toluca (Visitante): 58.91%; Empate: 23.19%. Para Atlante FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.59. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.78%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +3.78%E +0.652%K +0.788%G +0.030% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.32%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.89%E +0.502%K +0.608%G +0.018% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -11.04%E -7.31%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -0.264%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.89%E +0.502%K +0.608%G +0.018% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -11.04%E -7.31%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -0.264%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV +0.203%E +0.036%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.53I 18.08%NM 16.96%EV -1.05%E -0.190%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.36%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.68%EV -8.15%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:52 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.67%EV -2.30%E -0.422%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.19%EV -3.97%E -2.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.14%EV -3.28%E -0.786%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -5.17%E -0.975%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -5.17%E -0.975%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -13.40%E -9.12%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.17%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -0.439%E -0.259%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -11.16%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -6.33%E -3.98%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.33%E -3.98%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -14.58%E -10.05%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -14.58%E -10.05%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -15.17%E -10.53%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.91%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.85%EV -3.74%E -0.902%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.86%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.81%EV -8.74%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.22%EV -17.52%E -12.52%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.86%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.02%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.32%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.32%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -12.32%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.08%EV -11.04%E -7.31%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -15.34%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -15.01%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -13.02%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.59%EV -15.01%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.35%EV -9.28%E -6.02%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.06%EV -14.88%E -4.05%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -17.69%E -3.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.52% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.69% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.88% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |