Langue:Français
Atlante FC v Toluca
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atlante FC (Local)
Prévision 17.89%5.59cote équitable
EV +3.78%
Avantage +0.652%
Kelly +0.788%
Croissance +0.030%
avec la cote maximale 5.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.27%17.86%17.86%19.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.205.255.8021.74%19.23%19.05%17.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Toluca (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.91%1.70cote équitable
EV -0.439%
Avantage -0.259%
Kelly -0.636%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.69
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.78%58.92%58.98%61.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.551.551.6971.43%64.66%64.52%59.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 23.19%4.31cote équitable
EV -0.264%
Avantage -0.061%
Kelly -0.080%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.76%23.22%23.16%25.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.654.004.004.3027.40%25.02%25.00%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atlante FC (Local) : 17.89% ; Toluca (Visiteur) : 58.91% ; Match nul : 23.19%. Pour Atlante FC (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.59. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.80, soit une espérance positive de +3.78%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +3.78%E +0.652%K +0.788%G +0.030% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.32%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.89%E +0.502%K +0.608%G +0.018% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -11.04%E -7.31%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -0.264%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV +2.89%E +0.502%K +0.608%G +0.018% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -11.04%E -7.31%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -0.264%E -0.061%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV +0.203%E +0.036%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.53I 18.08%NM 16.96%EV -1.05%E -0.190%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.36%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.68%EV -8.15%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.53%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.51%EV -4.56%E -2.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:52 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.59%E -0.288%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -11.63%E -7.75%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.67%EV -2.30%E -0.422%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.19%EV -3.97%E -2.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.14%EV -3.28%E -0.786%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -5.17%E -0.975%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -5.17%E -0.975%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -13.40%E -9.12%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.17%EV -5.52%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -0.439%E -0.259%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -11.16%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -6.33%E -3.98%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.58%E -0.615%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.33%E -3.98%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 22:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -14.58%E -10.05%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -14.58%E -10.05%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -6.06%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -15.17%E -10.53%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.91%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.85%EV -3.74%E -0.902%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.86%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.95%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.81%EV -8.74%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.22%EV -17.52%E -12.52%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.90%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.15%E -3.20%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.22%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.86%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.53%E -2.11%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.02%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.32%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.32%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -12.32%E -2.51%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.08%EV -11.04%E -7.31%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -15.34%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.11%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -14.18%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -15.01%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.86%E -6.45%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -13.02%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.59%EV -15.01%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.35%EV -9.28%E -6.02%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.06%EV -14.88%E -4.05%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -17.69%E -3.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.69%E -5.60%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.52% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.69% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.98% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.88% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.25% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |