Language:English
Shelbourne Dublin v Derry City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shelbourne Dublin (Local)
Prediction 40.27%2.48fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.885%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.29%40.12%40.33%41.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.42%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Derry City (Visit)
Prediction 31.96%3.13fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.52%31.95%31.98%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.822.803.0039.22%35.42%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.77%3.60fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -0.799%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.11%27.93%27.69%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.273.303.5032.79%30.60%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 40.27%; Derry City (Visit): 31.96%; Draw: 27.77%. For Shelbourne Dublin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.43, with an expected value of -2.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -5.37%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -5.37%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.72%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 09:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.01%EV -6.35%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.75%EV -6.13%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.42%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -13.71%E -5.08%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.29%EV -6.58%E -2.84%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.52%EV -15.30%E -5.77%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.41%EV -6.98%E -3.02%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -6.67%E -2.29%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -6.13%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 10:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.12%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 13:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-07 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -15.94%E -6.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -15.94%E -6.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 12:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.95%E -2.76%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-07 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 13:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 23:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 38.38%EV -10.20%E -4.58%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.56%EV -18.50%E -7.25%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -15.30%E -5.01%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 11:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-07 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -13.43%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-07 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -15.44%E -7.35%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-07 18:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 118.9% | 2026-09-09 14:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 118.9% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 118.9% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |