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Shelbourne Dublin v Derry City
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Shelbourne Dublin (Хозяева)
Прогноз 40.27%2.48справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.15%
Преимущество -0.885%
Kelly -1.50%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.43
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.29%40.12%40.33%41.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.42%43.48%41.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Derry City (Гости)
Прогноз 31.96%3.13справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.12%
Преимущество -1.37%
Kelly -2.06%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.52%31.95%31.98%33.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.552.822.803.0039.22%35.42%35.71%33.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.77%3.60справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.80%
Преимущество -0.799%
Kelly -1.12%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.11%27.93%27.69%29.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.053.273.303.5032.79%30.60%30.30%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Shelbourne Dublin (Хозяева): 40.27%; Derry City (Гости): 31.96%; Ничья: 27.77%. Для исхода «Shelbourne Dublin (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.48. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.43, математическое ожидание — -2.15%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -5.37%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -5.37%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.72%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 09:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.01%EV -6.35%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.75%EV -6.13%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.42%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -13.71%E -5.08%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.29%EV -6.58%E -2.84%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.52%EV -15.30%E -5.77%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.41%EV -6.98%E -3.02%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -6.67%E -2.29%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -6.13%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 10:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.12%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 13:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-07 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -15.94%E -6.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -15.94%E -6.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 12:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.95%E -2.76%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-07 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 13:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 23:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 38.38%EV -10.20%E -4.58%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.56%EV -18.50%E -7.25%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -15.30%E -5.01%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 11:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-07 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -13.43%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-07 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -15.44%E -7.35%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-07 18:49 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (3)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 118.9% | 2026-09-09 14:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 118.9% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 118.9% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |