Idioma:Español
Shelbourne Dublin v Derry City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shelbourne Dublin (Local)
Predicción 40.27%2.48momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -0.885%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.29%40.12%40.33%41.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.42%43.48%41.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Derry City (Visitante)
Predicción 31.96%3.13momio equitativo
EV -4.12%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -2.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.52%31.95%31.98%33.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.822.803.0039.22%35.42%35.71%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.77%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -0.799%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%27.93%27.69%29.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.273.303.5032.79%30.60%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Shelbourne Dublin (Local): 40.27%; Derry City (Visitante): 31.96%; Empate: 27.77%. Para Shelbourne Dublin (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.48. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.43, con un valor esperado de -2.15%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -5.37%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -5.37%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.72%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 09:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.01%EV -6.35%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.75%EV -6.13%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 13:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.42%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -13.71%E -5.08%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.29%EV -6.58%E -2.84%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.52%EV -15.30%E -5.77%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.41%EV -6.98%E -3.02%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -6.67%E -2.29%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -6.13%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 10:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.12%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 13:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-07 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -15.94%E -6.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -15.94%E -6.06%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 12:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.95%E -2.76%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-07 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 13:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 23:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 38.38%EV -10.20%E -4.58%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.56%EV -18.50%E -7.25%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -15.30%E -5.01%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 11:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-07 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -13.43%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-07 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -15.44%E -7.35%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-07 18:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 118.9% | 2026-09-09 14:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 118.9% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03% | 118.9% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |