默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Shelbourne Dublin v Derry City

开赛时间: 2026-09-11 18:45 UTC

最终结果: Shelbourne Dublin 0–1 Derry City

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Shelbourne Dublin (主队)

预测 40.27%2.48公平赔率
EV -2.15%
优势 -0.885%
Kelly -1.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.43

博彩公司预测分布
38.29%40.12%40.33%41.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.42%43.48%41.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

Derry City (客队)

预测 31.96%3.13公平赔率
EV -4.12%
优势 -1.37%
Kelly -2.06%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
30.52%31.95%31.98%33.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.822.803.0039.22%35.42%35.71%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.77%3.60公平赔率
EV -2.80%
优势 -0.799%
Kelly -1.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
27.11%27.93%27.69%29.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.273.303.5032.79%30.60%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Shelbourne Dublin (主队):40.27%;Derry City (客队):31.96%;平局:27.77%。 对于“Shelbourne Dublin (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.48。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.43,期望值为-2.15%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -5.37%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -5.37%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 12:25
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.72%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 09:25
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.01%EV -6.35%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.75%EV -6.13%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 13:10
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.42%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -13.71%E -5.08%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.29%EV -6.58%E -2.84%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.52%EV -15.30%E -5.77%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.41%EV -6.98%E -3.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -6.67%E -2.29%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -6.13%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 10:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.12%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 09:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 09:10
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 18:45
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 09:10
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 11:50
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:06
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 19:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 23:35
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 11:30
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -15.94%E -6.06%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -15.94%E -6.06%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 12:34
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.95%E -2.76%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 14:49
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 20:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 13:25
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 20:45
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 23:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.38%EV -10.20%E -4.58%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.56%EV -18.50%E -7.25%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -15.30%E -5.01%K -7.46%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 11:30
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-07 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -13.43%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-07 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -15.44%E -7.35%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-07 18:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%118.9%2026-09-09 14:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%118.9%2026-09-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%118.9%2026-09-09 14:35