StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Shelbourne Dublin v Derry City

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-11 18:45 UTC

Endstand: Shelbourne Dublin 0–1 Derry City

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Shelbourne Dublin (Heim)

Prognose 40.27%2.48faire Quote
EV -2.15%
Vorteil -0.885%
Kelly -1.50%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.43

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.29%40.12%40.33%41.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.42%43.48%41.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Derry City (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.96%3.13faire Quote
EV -4.12%
Vorteil -1.37%
Kelly -2.06%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.52%31.95%31.98%33.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.552.822.803.0039.22%35.42%35.71%33.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.77%3.60faire Quote
EV -2.80%
Vorteil -0.799%
Kelly -1.12%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.11%27.93%27.69%29.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.053.273.303.5032.79%30.60%30.30%28.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Shelbourne Dublin (Heim): 40.27%; Derry City (Auswärts): 31.96%; Unentschieden: 27.77%. Für Shelbourne Dublin (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.48. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.43, bei einem Erwartungswert von -2.15%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -5.37%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -5.37%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 12:25
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.72%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 09:25
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.01%EV -6.35%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.75%EV -6.13%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 13:10
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.42%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -13.71%E -5.08%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.29%EV -6.58%E -2.84%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.52%EV -15.30%E -5.77%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.41%EV -6.98%E -3.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -6.67%E -2.29%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -6.13%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 10:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.12%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 09:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 09:10
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 18:45
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 09:10
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 11:50
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:06
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 19:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 23:35
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 11:30
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -15.94%E -6.06%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -15.94%E -6.06%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 12:34
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.95%E -2.76%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 14:49
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 20:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 13:25
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 20:45
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 23:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.38%EV -10.20%E -4.58%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.56%EV -18.50%E -7.25%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -15.30%E -5.01%K -7.46%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 11:30
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-07 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -13.43%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-07 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -15.44%E -7.35%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-07 18:49
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%118.9%2026-09-09 14:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%118.9%2026-09-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%118.9%2026-09-09 14:35