Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Shelbourne Dublin v Derry City

Inizio: 2026-09-11 18:45 UTC

Finale: Shelbourne Dublin 0–1 Derry City

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Shelbourne Dublin (Casa)

Previsione 40.27%2.48quota equa
EV -2.15%
Vantaggio -0.885%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.29%40.12%40.33%41.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.42%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Derry City (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.96%3.13quota equa
EV -4.12%
Vantaggio -1.37%
Kelly -2.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.52%31.95%31.98%33.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.822.803.0039.22%35.42%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.77%3.60quota equa
EV -2.80%
Vantaggio -0.799%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.11%27.93%27.69%29.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.273.303.5032.79%30.60%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Shelbourne Dublin (Casa): 40.27%; Derry City (Trasferta): 31.96%; Pareggio: 27.77%. Per Shelbourne Dublin (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.48. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.43, con un valore atteso del -2.15%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -2.15%E -0.885%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -5.37%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -5.37%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 12:25
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.72%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 09:25
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.01%EV -6.35%E -2.17%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.75%EV -6.13%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 13:10
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.42%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -13.71%E -5.08%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.29%EV -6.58%E -2.84%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.52%EV -15.30%E -5.77%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.41%EV -6.98%E -3.02%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.97%EV -6.67%E -2.29%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -6.13%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 10:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -4.12%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 09:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 09:10
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 18:45
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 09:10
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 11:50
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:06
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 19:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 23:35
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 11:30
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.71%E -1.94%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -15.94%E -6.06%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -15.94%E -6.06%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.31%E -2.52%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 12:34
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.95%E -2.76%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 14:49
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 20:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 13:25
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 20:45
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.40%E -4.18%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 23:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.38%EV -10.20%E -4.58%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.56%EV -18.50%E -7.25%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -15.30%E -5.01%K -7.46%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 11:30
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.51%E -3.75%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.41%E -5.19%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-07 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -13.43%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -12.11%E -4.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -12.52%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-07 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -15.44%E -7.35%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -8.91%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-07 18:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%118.9%2026-09-09 14:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%118.9%2026-09-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 43.94%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%1.63I 61.35%NM 28.03%118.9%2026-09-09 14:35