Language:English
Galway United v Derry City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Galway United (Local)
Prediction 28.05%3.57fair odd
EV -0.703%
Edge -0.199%
Kelly -0.277%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%28.11%28.04%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.203.5433.33%30.95%31.25%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Derry City (Visit)
Prediction 43.47%2.30fair odd
EV -0.009%
Edge -0.004%
Kelly -0.007%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.86%43.31%43.60%44.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.142.3050.00%46.62%46.73%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.48%3.51fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.764%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.76%28.58%28.36%30.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.163.153.4236.36%31.63%31.75%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galway United (Local): 28.05%; Derry City (Visit): 43.47%; Draw: 28.48%. For Derry City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.3002. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.3000, with an expected value of -0.009%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.22%EV -0.703%E -0.199%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.61%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.17%EV -2.61%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.82%E -0.521%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.85%EV -2.39%E -0.686%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.67%EV -6.97%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -9.73%E -3.07%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.61%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-19 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.76%EV -7.40%E -3.47%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-19 18:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.18%E -0.936%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.51%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.92%EV -21.69%E -7.89%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -13.15%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -13.15%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -15.85%E -5.28%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -0.009%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-19 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -15.85%E -5.28%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -6.97%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |