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Galway United v Derry City
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Galway United (Хозяева)
Прогноз 28.05%3.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.703%
Преимущество -0.199%
Kelly -0.277%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.54
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.35%28.11%28.04%30.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.233.203.5433.33%30.95%31.25%28.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Derry City (Гости)
Прогноз 43.47%2.30справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.009%
Преимущество -0.004%
Kelly -0.007%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.86%43.31%43.60%44.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.152.142.3050.00%46.62%46.73%43.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.48%3.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.61%
Преимущество -0.764%
Kelly -1.08%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.42
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.76%28.58%28.36%30.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.753.163.153.4236.36%31.63%31.75%29.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Galway United (Хозяева): 28.05%; Derry City (Гости): 43.47%; Ничья: 28.48%. Для исхода «Derry City (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.3002. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.3000, математическое ожидание — -0.009%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.22%EV -0.703%E -0.199%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.61%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.17%EV -2.61%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.82%E -0.521%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.85%EV -2.39%E -0.686%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.67%EV -6.97%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -9.73%E -3.07%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.61%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-19 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.76%EV -7.40%E -3.47%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-19 18:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.18%E -0.936%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.51%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.92%EV -21.69%E -7.89%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -13.15%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -13.15%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -15.85%E -5.28%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -0.009%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-19 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -15.85%E -5.28%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -6.97%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |