L’École des cotes

Galway United v Derry City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-19 18:45 UTC

Score final : Galway United 2–1 Derry City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Galway United (Local)

Prévision 28.05%3.57cote équitable
EV -0.703%
Avantage -0.199%
Kelly -0.277%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.35%28.11%28.04%30.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.233.203.5433.33%30.95%31.25%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Derry City (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.47%2.30cote équitable
EV -0.009%
Avantage -0.004%
Kelly -0.007%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.86%43.31%43.60%44.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.142.3050.00%46.62%46.73%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.48%3.51cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.764%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.76%28.58%28.36%30.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.163.153.4236.36%31.63%31.75%29.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.54I 28.25%NM 27.22%EV -0.703%E -0.199%K -0.277%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.61%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.17%EV -2.61%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 18:40
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.82%E -0.521%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:40
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.85%EV -2.39%E -0.686%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.67%EV -6.97%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -9.73%E -3.07%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 18:41
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.61%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 18:30
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 18:40
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 18:40
BetAnything3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 18:40
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-19 18:39
Marathon Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.76%EV -7.40%E -3.47%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 18:40
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-19 18:40
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-19 18:29
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.18%E -0.936%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:30
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-19 18:40
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-19 18:41
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-19 18:30
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 18:30
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 18:30
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-19 18:30
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-19 18:40
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-19 18:30
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-19 18:30
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 18:30
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 18:30
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:30
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:30
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-19 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.51%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.92%EV -21.69%E -7.89%K -12.40%G +0.000%17.6%2026-06-19 18:30
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:41
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:41
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:41
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-19 18:30
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-19 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-19 18:40
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:30
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-19 18:30
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -13.15%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-19 18:40
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -13.15%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-19 18:41
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-19 18:30
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -15.85%E -5.28%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -0.009%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-19 18:10
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -15.85%E -5.28%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -6.97%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-19 18:41
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-06-19 18:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-06-19 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-06-19 18:40
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-06-19 18:41