La scuola delle quote

Galway United v Derry City

Inizio: 2026-06-19 18:45 UTC

Finale: Galway United 2–1 Derry City

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

49 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Galway United (Casa)

Previsione 28.05%3.57quota equa
EV -0.703%
Vantaggio -0.199%
Kelly -0.277%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.35%28.11%28.04%30.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.233.203.5433.33%30.95%31.25%28.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Derry City (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.47%2.30quota equa
EV -0.009%
Vantaggio -0.004%
Kelly -0.007%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.86%43.31%43.60%44.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.152.142.3050.00%46.62%46.73%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.48%3.51quota equa
EV -2.61%
Vantaggio -0.764%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.76%28.58%28.36%30.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.163.153.4236.36%31.63%31.75%29.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.54I 28.25%NM 27.22%EV -0.703%E -0.199%K -0.277%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.61%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.17%EV -2.61%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 18:40
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.82%E -0.521%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:40
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.85%EV -2.39%E -0.686%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.67%EV -6.97%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -9.73%E -3.07%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 18:41
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.61%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 18:30
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 18:40
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 18:40
BetAnything3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 18:40
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-19 18:39
Marathon Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.76%EV -7.40%E -3.47%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 18:40
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-19 18:40
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-19 18:29
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.18%E -0.936%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:30
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-19 18:40
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-19 18:41
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-19 18:30
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 18:30
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 18:30
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-19 18:30
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-19 18:40
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-19 18:30
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-19 18:30
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 18:30
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 18:30
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:30
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:30
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-19 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.51%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.92%EV -21.69%E -7.89%K -12.40%G +0.000%17.6%2026-06-19 18:30
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:41
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:41
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:41
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-19 18:30
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-19 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-19 18:40
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:30
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-19 18:30
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -13.15%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-19 18:40
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -13.15%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-19 18:41
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-19 18:30
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -15.85%E -5.28%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -0.009%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-19 18:10
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -15.85%E -5.28%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -6.97%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-19 18:41
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-06-19 18:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-06-19 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-06-19 18:40
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-06-19 18:41