مدرسة الاحتمالات

Galway United v Derry City

البداية: 2026-06-19 18:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Galway United 2–1 Derry City

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Galway United (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.05%3.57السعر العادل
EV -0.703%
الأفضلية -0.199%
Kelly -0.277%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.35%28.11%28.04%30.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.233.203.5433.33%30.95%31.25%28.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Derry City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.47%2.30السعر العادل
EV -0.009%
الأفضلية -0.004%
Kelly -0.007%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.86%43.31%43.60%44.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.152.142.3050.00%46.62%46.73%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.48%3.51السعر العادل
EV -2.61%
الأفضلية -0.764%
Kelly -1.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.76%28.58%28.36%30.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.163.153.4236.36%31.63%31.75%29.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.54I 28.25%NM 27.22%EV -0.703%E -0.199%K -0.277%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.61%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.17%EV -2.61%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 18:40
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.82%E -0.521%K -0.730%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:40
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.85%EV -2.39%E -0.686%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.67%EV -6.97%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -9.73%E -3.07%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 18:41
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.61%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 18:30
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 18:40
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 18:40
BetAnything3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 18:40
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-19 18:39
Marathon Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.76%EV -7.40%E -3.47%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 18:40
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-19 18:40
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-19 18:29
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.18%E -0.936%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:30
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-19 18:40
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-19 18:41
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-19 18:30
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 18:30
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 18:30
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-19 18:30
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-19 18:40
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-19 18:30
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-19 18:30
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 18:30
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 18:30
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:30
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:30
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-19 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.51%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.92%EV -21.69%E -7.89%K -12.40%G +0.000%17.6%2026-06-19 18:30
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:41
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:41
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:41
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 18:40
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-19 18:30
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-19 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-19 18:40
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:30
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-19 18:30
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -13.15%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-19 18:40
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -13.15%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-19 18:41
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-19 18:30
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -15.85%E -5.28%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -0.009%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-19 18:10
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -15.85%E -5.28%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -6.97%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-19 18:41
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-06-19 18:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-06-19 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-06-19 18:40
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-06-19 18:41