La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Galway United v Derry City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Galway United (Local)
Predicción 28.05%3.57momio equitativo
EV -0.703%
Ventaja -0.199%
Kelly -0.277%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.35%28.11%28.04%30.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.233.203.5433.33%30.95%31.25%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Derry City (Visitante)
Predicción 43.47%2.30momio equitativo
EV -0.009%
Ventaja -0.004%
Kelly -0.007%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.86%43.31%43.60%44.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.142.3050.00%46.62%46.73%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.48%3.51momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -0.764%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.76%28.58%28.36%30.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.163.153.4236.36%31.63%31.75%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.22%EV -0.703%E -0.199%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.61%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.17%EV -2.61%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.82%E -0.521%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.85%EV -2.39%E -0.686%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.67%EV -6.97%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -9.73%E -3.07%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -4.61%E -1.37%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| BetAnything | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -3.23%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.65%EV -6.10%E -2.82%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-19 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.76%EV -7.40%E -3.47%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.60%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Bovada | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Everygame | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.03%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-19 18:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.18%E -0.936%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| BetUS | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.51%EV -13.05%E -6.53%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.92%EV -21.69%E -7.89%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -2.18%E -0.970%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.30%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Bet Right | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.53%E -3.04%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.64%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.98%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| betfred_uk | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.88%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -13.15%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -5.23%E -2.40%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.42%EV -13.15%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -14.45%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -10.88%E -5.31%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -15.85%E -5.28%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -0.009%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-19 18:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -15.85%E -5.28%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -6.97%E -3.25%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |