預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Cerezo Osaka

開賽時間: 2026-09-12 10:00 UTC

最終賽果: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC 6–1 Cerezo Osaka

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

48 家博彩公司 (16 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (主隊)

預測 59.19%1.69公平賠率
EV -5.30%
優勢 -3.31%
Kelly -8.83%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.60

博彩公司預測分布
57.66%59.13%59.21%60.85%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.27%64.10%62.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Cerezo Osaka (客隊)

預測 18.95%5.28公平賠率
EV -0.506%
優勢 -0.096%
Kelly -0.119%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 5.25

博彩公司預測分布
17.85%19.00%18.99%20.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.304.834.805.2523.26%20.72%20.83%19.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 21.86%4.57公平賠率
EV -3.81%
優勢 -0.867%
Kelly -1.12%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.40

博彩公司預測分布
20.87%21.87%21.80%23.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.904.184.204.4025.64%23.93%23.81%22.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (主隊):59.19%;Cerezo Osaka (客隊):18.95%;和局:21.86%。 對於「Cerezo Osaka (客隊)」,該估計相當於5.28的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為5.25,期望值為-0.506%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (48 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.75%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.53%EV -2.21%E -0.429%K -0.532%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 10:49
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.89%E -3.70%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 10:05
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -0.506%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 10:09
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.41%EV -2.40%E -0.466%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.59%EV -4.03%E -0.919%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 10:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.18%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.18%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -4.91%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 10:05
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 11:39
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.37%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.28%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 08:50
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:07
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 10:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 10:04
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 10:05
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -10.37%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 07:40
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 11:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -4.30%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 10:44
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.09%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.09%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 10:04
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 10:04
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 10:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 10:04
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 10:05
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 10:05
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 10:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 10:04
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.93%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -9.28%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 08:50
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-08 10:55
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 10:00
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 10:04
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -0.506%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 10:09
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -1.45%E -0.280%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 10:14
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 10:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 10:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 10:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.25%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -16.61%E -3.78%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.37%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.83%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.00%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.50%EV -18.51%E -4.30%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.50%EV -10.37%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-07 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 57.92%EV -10.63%E -7.04%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.65%EV -15.67%E -3.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-07 08:48
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-07 10:09
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 10:04
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%3.1%2026-09-09 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%4.7%2026-09-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%4.7%2026-09-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%4.7%2026-09-09 16:25
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 59.32%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%6.0%2026-09-09 17:21