语言:简体中文
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Cerezo Osaka
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (主队)
预测 59.19%1.69公平赔率
EV -5.30%
优势 -3.31%
Kelly -8.83%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.60
博彩公司预测分布
57.66%59.13%59.21%60.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.27%64.10%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Cerezo Osaka (客队)
预测 18.95%5.28公平赔率
EV -0.506%
优势 -0.096%
Kelly -0.119%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.25
博彩公司预测分布
17.85%19.00%18.99%20.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.304.834.805.2523.26%20.72%20.83%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 21.86%4.57公平赔率
EV -3.81%
优势 -0.867%
Kelly -1.12%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.40
博彩公司预测分布
20.87%21.87%21.80%23.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.184.204.4025.64%23.93%23.81%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (主队)：59.19%；Cerezo Osaka (客队)：18.95%；平局：21.86%。 对于“Cerezo Osaka (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.28。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为5.25，期望值为-0.506%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.75%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.53%EV -2.21%E -0.429%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.89%E -3.70%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -0.506%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.41%EV -2.40%E -0.466%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.59%EV -4.03%E -0.919%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.18%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.18%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -4.91%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.37%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.28%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 10:07 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -10.37%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 07:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -4.30%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.09%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.09%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.93%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -9.28%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-08 10:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -0.506%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -1.45%E -0.280%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 10:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.25%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -16.61%E -3.78%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.37%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.83%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.00%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.50%EV -18.51%E -4.30%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.50%EV -10.37%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.92%EV -10.63%E -7.04%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.65%EV -15.67%E -3.52%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-07 08:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.32% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |