Langue:Français
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Cerezo Osaka
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Local)
Prévision 59.19%1.69cote équitable
EV -5.30%
Avantage -3.31%
Kelly -8.83%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.66%59.13%59.21%60.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.27%64.10%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Cerezo Osaka (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.95%5.28cote équitable
EV -0.506%
Avantage -0.096%
Kelly -0.119%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.85%19.00%18.99%20.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.304.834.805.2523.26%20.72%20.83%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 21.86%4.57cote équitable
EV -3.81%
Avantage -0.867%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.87%21.87%21.80%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.184.204.4025.64%23.93%23.81%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Local) : 59.19% ; Cerezo Osaka (Visiteur) : 18.95% ; Match nul : 21.86%. Pour Cerezo Osaka (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.28. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 5.25, pour une espérance de -0.506% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.75%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.53%EV -2.21%E -0.429%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.89%E -3.70%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -0.506%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.41%EV -2.40%E -0.466%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.59%EV -4.03%E -0.919%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.18%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.18%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -4.91%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.37%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.28%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 10:07 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -10.37%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 07:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -4.30%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.09%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.09%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.93%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -9.28%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-08 10:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -0.506%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -1.45%E -0.280%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 10:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.25%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -16.61%E -3.78%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.37%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.83%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.00%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.50%EV -18.51%E -4.30%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.50%EV -10.37%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.92%EV -10.63%E -7.04%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.65%EV -15.67%E -3.52%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-07 08:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.32% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |