Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Cerezo Osaka

Inizio: 2026-09-12 10:00 UTC

Finale: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC 6–1 Cerezo Osaka

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Casa)

Previsione 59.19%1.69quota equa
EV -5.30%
Vantaggio -3.31%
Kelly -8.83%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.66%59.13%59.21%60.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.27%64.10%62.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cerezo Osaka (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.95%5.28quota equa
EV -0.506%
Vantaggio -0.096%
Kelly -0.119%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.85%19.00%18.99%20.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.304.834.805.2523.26%20.72%20.83%19.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.86%4.57quota equa
EV -3.81%
Vantaggio -0.867%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.87%21.87%21.80%23.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.184.204.4025.64%23.93%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Casa): 59.19%; Cerezo Osaka (Trasferta): 18.95%; Pareggio: 21.86%. Per Cerezo Osaka (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.28. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 5.25, con un valore atteso del -0.506%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.75%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.53%EV -2.21%E -0.429%K -0.532%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 10:49
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.89%E -3.70%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 10:05
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -0.506%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 10:09
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.41%EV -2.40%E -0.466%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.59%EV -4.03%E -0.919%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 10:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.18%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.18%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 10:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -4.91%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 10:05
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 11:39
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.37%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.28%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 08:50
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:07
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 10:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 10:04
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 10:05
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -10.37%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 07:40
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 11:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -4.30%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 10:44
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.09%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.09%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 10:04
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 10:04
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 10:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 10:04
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 10:05
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 10:05
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 10:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 10:04
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.93%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -9.28%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 08:50
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-08 10:55
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 10:00
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 10:04
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -0.506%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 10:09
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -1.45%E -0.280%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 10:14
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 10:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 10:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 10:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.25%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -16.61%E -3.78%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.37%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.83%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.00%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.50%EV -18.51%E -4.30%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.50%EV -10.37%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-07 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 57.92%EV -10.63%E -7.04%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.65%EV -15.67%E -3.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-07 08:48
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-07 10:09
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 10:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%3.1%2026-09-09 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%4.7%2026-09-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%4.7%2026-09-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%4.7%2026-09-09 16:25
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 59.32%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%6.0%2026-09-09 17:21