Язык:Русский
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Cerezo Osaka
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Хозяева)
Прогноз 59.19%1.69справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.30%
Преимущество -3.31%
Kelly -8.83%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.66%59.13%59.21%60.85%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.27%64.10%62.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Cerezo Osaka (Гости)
Прогноз 18.95%5.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.506%
Преимущество -0.096%
Kelly -0.119%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.85%19.00%18.99%20.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.304.834.805.2523.26%20.72%20.83%19.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 21.86%4.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.81%
Преимущество -0.867%
Kelly -1.12%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.87%21.87%21.80%23.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.904.184.204.4025.64%23.93%23.81%22.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Хозяева): 59.19%; Cerezo Osaka (Гости): 18.95%; Ничья: 21.86%. Для исхода «Cerezo Osaka (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.28. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 5.25, математическое ожидание — -0.506%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.75%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.53%EV -2.21%E -0.429%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.89%E -3.70%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -0.506%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.41%EV -2.40%E -0.466%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.59%EV -4.03%E -0.919%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.18%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.18%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -4.91%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.37%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.28%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 10:07 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -10.37%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 07:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -4.30%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.09%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.09%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.93%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -9.28%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-08 10:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -0.506%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -1.45%E -0.280%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 10:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.25%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -16.61%E -3.78%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.37%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.83%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.00%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.50%EV -18.51%E -4.30%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.50%EV -10.37%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.92%EV -10.63%E -7.04%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.65%EV -15.67%E -3.52%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-07 08:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.32% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |