Idioma:Español
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Cerezo Osaka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Local)
Predicción 59.19%1.69momio equitativo
EV -5.30%
Ventaja -3.31%
Kelly -8.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.66%59.13%59.21%60.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.561.6066.67%64.27%64.10%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cerezo Osaka (Visitante)
Predicción 18.95%5.28momio equitativo
EV -0.506%
Ventaja -0.096%
Kelly -0.119%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.85%19.00%18.99%20.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.304.834.805.2523.26%20.72%20.83%19.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.86%4.57momio equitativo
EV -3.81%
Ventaja -0.867%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.87%21.87%21.80%23.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.184.204.4025.64%23.93%23.81%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Local): 59.19%; Cerezo Osaka (Visitante): 18.95%; Empate: 21.86%. Para Cerezo Osaka (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.28. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 5.25, con un valor esperado de -0.506%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.75%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.53%EV -2.21%E -0.429%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 10:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.89%E -3.70%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -0.506%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.41%EV -2.40%E -0.466%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.59%EV -4.03%E -0.919%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.18%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.18%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -4.91%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.37%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -9.28%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 10:07 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -10.37%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 07:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.07%E -4.51%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -4.30%E -0.851%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.09%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.09%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.67%E -4.91%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -10.93%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -9.28%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-08 10:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.26%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -0.506%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -1.45%E -0.280%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 10:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.14%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-07 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.25%EV -8.85%E -5.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -16.61%E -3.78%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.14%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.81%E -0.867%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.37%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -14.72%E -3.27%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.91%EV -11.47%E -2.83%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.00%EV -10.03%E -6.60%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.50%EV -18.51%E -4.30%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.50%EV -10.37%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-07 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.92%EV -10.63%E -7.04%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.65%EV -15.67%E -3.52%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-07 08:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.22%E -7.48%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -9.98%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.32% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |