Language:English
FC Tokyo v JEF United Chiba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Tokyo (Local)
Prediction 63.56%1.57fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -9.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.54%63.59%63.50%65.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.72%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
JEF United Chiba (Visit)
Prediction 15.23%6.57fair odd
EV +3.54%
Edge +0.520%
Kelly +0.610%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 6.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.01%15.19%15.24%17.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.256.056.006.8019.05%16.53%16.67%14.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.22%4.71fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.523%
Kelly -0.668%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.32%21.21%21.26%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.244.204.6025.00%23.56%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Tokyo (Local): 63.56%; JEF United Chiba (Visit): 15.23%; Draw: 21.22%. For JEF United Chiba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.57. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.01%EV +3.54%E +0.520%K +0.610%G +0.022% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -2.40%E -0.523%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.01%EV +3.54%E +0.520%K +0.610%G +0.022% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -2.40%E -0.523%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.72%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.76I 14.79%NM 14.27%EV +2.93%E +0.433%K +0.509%G +0.015% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.01%EV -2.62%E -0.570%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -1.03%E -0.158%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-21 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -1.79%E -0.278%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -9.75%E -6.87%K -23.21%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -5.60%E -0.903%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.49%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.72%EV -7.73%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.79%EV -2.83%E -0.618%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 10:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 10:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -9.83%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 10:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.17%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -10.16%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -10.16%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.49%EV -9.75%E -6.87%K -23.21%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -11.69%E -2.02%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.13%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 09:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 10:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 10:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -16.26%E -2.96%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -17.78%E -3.29%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 09:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.4% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64% | 1.8% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35% | 1.8% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |