默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Tokyo v JEF United Chiba

开赛时间: 2026-08-21 10:30 UTC

最终结果: FC Tokyo 2–0 JEF United Chiba

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Tokyo (主队)

预测 63.56%1.57公平赔率
EV -4.66%
优势 -3.11%
Kelly -9.33%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.50

博彩公司预测分布
60.54%63.59%63.50%65.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.72%68.97%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

JEF United Chiba (客队)

预测 15.23%6.57公平赔率
EV +3.54%
优势 +0.520%
Kelly +0.610%
增长率 +0.022%

假设最高赔率为 6.80

博彩公司预测分布
14.01%15.19%15.24%17.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.256.056.006.8019.05%16.53%16.67%14.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.22%4.71公平赔率
EV -2.40%
优势 -0.523%
Kelly -0.668%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.60

博彩公司预测分布
20.32%21.21%21.26%22.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.244.204.6025.00%23.56%23.81%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:FC Tokyo (主队):63.56%;JEF United Chiba (客队):15.23%;平局:21.22%。 对于“JEF United Chiba (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.57。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.80,对应+3.54%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.01%EV +3.54%E +0.520%K +0.610%G +0.022%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -2.40%E -0.523%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 10:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.01%EV +3.54%E +0.520%K +0.610%G +0.022%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -2.40%E -0.523%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 10:20
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.72%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.27%EV +2.93%E +0.433%K +0.509%G +0.015%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.01%EV -2.62%E -0.570%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 10:20
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -1.03%E -0.158%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 10:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -1.79%E -0.278%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 09:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 09:35
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 09:35
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 10:25
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:34
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:35
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:35
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:35
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 09:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 09:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -9.75%E -6.87%K -23.21%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -5.60%E -0.903%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 10:20
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.49%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.72%EV -7.73%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.79%EV -2.83%E -0.618%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 10:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 10:20
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 10:15
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 10:18
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 10:09
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 10:25
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -9.83%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 10:10
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 10:19
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 10:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 10:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 10:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 10:19
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 10:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 10:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 10:25
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.17%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -10.16%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 10:20
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -10.16%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 10:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.49%EV -9.75%E -6.87%K -23.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -11.69%E -2.02%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-21 10:20
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.13%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 09:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-21 10:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 10:10
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 10:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -16.26%E -2.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 10:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -17.78%E -3.29%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-21 10:20
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 09:59
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 09:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-21 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-21 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-21 10:20
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.4%2026-08-21 10:25
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64%1.8%2026-08-21 10:20
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%1.8%2026-08-21 10:25