Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Tokyo v JEF United Chiba

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-21 10:30 UTC

Score final : FC Tokyo 2–0 JEF United Chiba

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Tokyo (Local)

Prévision 63.56%1.57cote équitable
EV -4.66%
Avantage -3.11%
Kelly -9.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.54%63.59%63.50%65.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.72%68.97%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

JEF United Chiba (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.23%6.57cote équitable
EV +3.54%
Avantage +0.520%
Kelly +0.610%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 6.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.01%15.19%15.24%17.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.256.056.006.8019.05%16.53%16.67%14.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.22%4.71cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -0.523%
Kelly -0.668%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.32%21.21%21.26%22.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.244.204.6025.00%23.56%23.81%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Tokyo (Local) : 63.56% ; JEF United Chiba (Visiteur) : 15.23% ; Match nul : 21.22%. Pour JEF United Chiba (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.57. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.80, soit une espérance positive de +3.54%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.01%EV +3.54%E +0.520%K +0.610%G +0.022%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -2.40%E -0.523%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 10:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.01%EV +3.54%E +0.520%K +0.610%G +0.022%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -2.40%E -0.523%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 10:20
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.72%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.27%EV +2.93%E +0.433%K +0.509%G +0.015%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.01%EV -2.62%E -0.570%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 10:20
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -1.03%E -0.158%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 10:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -1.79%E -0.278%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 09:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 09:35
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 09:35
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 10:25
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:34
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:35
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:35
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:35
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 09:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 09:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -9.75%E -6.87%K -23.21%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -5.60%E -0.903%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 10:20
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.49%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.72%EV -7.73%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.79%EV -2.83%E -0.618%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 10:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 10:20
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 10:15
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 10:18
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 10:09
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 10:25
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -9.83%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 10:10
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 10:19
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 10:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 10:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 10:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 10:19
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 10:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 10:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 10:25
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.17%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -10.16%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 10:20
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -10.16%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 10:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.49%EV -9.75%E -6.87%K -23.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -11.69%E -2.02%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-21 10:20
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.13%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 09:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-21 10:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 10:10
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 10:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -16.26%E -2.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 10:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -17.78%E -3.29%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-21 10:20
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 09:59
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 09:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-21 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-21 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-21 10:20
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.4%2026-08-21 10:25
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64%1.8%2026-08-21 10:20
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%1.8%2026-08-21 10:25