Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Tokyo v JEF United Chiba

Início: 2026-08-21 10:30 UTC

Final: FC Tokyo 2–0 JEF United Chiba

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Tokyo (Local)

Previsão 63.56%1.57odd justa
EV -4.66%
Vantagem -3.11%
Kelly -9.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.54%63.59%63.50%65.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.72%68.97%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

JEF United Chiba (Visitante)

Previsão 15.23%6.57odd justa
EV +3.54%
Vantagem +0.520%
Kelly +0.610%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.01%15.19%15.24%17.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.256.056.006.8019.05%16.53%16.67%14.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.22%4.71odd justa
EV -2.40%
Vantagem -0.523%
Kelly -0.668%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.32%21.21%21.26%22.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.244.204.6025.00%23.56%23.81%21.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Tokyo (Local): 63.56%; JEF United Chiba (Visitante): 15.23%; Empate: 21.22%. Para JEF United Chiba (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.57. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.54%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.01%EV +3.54%E +0.520%K +0.610%G +0.022%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -2.40%E -0.523%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 10:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.01%EV +3.54%E +0.520%K +0.610%G +0.022%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -2.40%E -0.523%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 10:20
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.72%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.27%EV +2.93%E +0.433%K +0.509%G +0.015%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.01%EV -2.62%E -0.570%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 10:20
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -1.03%E -0.158%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 10:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -1.79%E -0.278%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 09:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 09:35
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 09:35
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 10:25
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:34
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:35
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:35
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:35
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 09:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 09:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 09:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -9.75%E -6.87%K -23.21%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -5.60%E -0.903%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 10:20
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.49%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.72%EV -7.73%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.79%EV -2.83%E -0.618%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 10:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 10:20
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 10:15
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 10:18
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 10:09
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 10:25
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -9.83%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 10:10
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 10:19
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 10:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 10:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 10:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 10:19
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 10:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 10:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 10:25
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.17%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -10.16%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 10:20
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -10.16%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 10:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.49%EV -9.75%E -6.87%K -23.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -11.69%E -2.02%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-21 10:20
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.13%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 09:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-21 10:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 10:10
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 10:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -16.26%E -2.96%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 10:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -17.78%E -3.29%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-21 10:20
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 09:59
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 09:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-21 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-21 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-08-21 10:20
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.4%2026-08-21 10:25
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64%1.8%2026-08-21 10:20
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%1.8%2026-08-21 10:25