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FC Tokyo v JEF United Chiba
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
FC Tokyo (Хозяева)
Прогноз 63.56%1.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.66%
Преимущество -3.11%
Kelly -9.33%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
60.54%63.59%63.50%65.27%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.72%68.97%66.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
JEF United Chiba (Гости)
Прогноз 15.23%6.57справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.54%
Преимущество +0.520%
Kelly +0.610%
Рост +0.022%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.01%15.19%15.24%17.07%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.256.056.006.8019.05%16.53%16.67%14.71%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 21.22%4.71справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.40%
Преимущество -0.523%
Kelly -0.668%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.32%21.21%21.26%22.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.244.204.6025.00%23.56%23.81%21.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: FC Tokyo (Хозяева): 63.56%; JEF United Chiba (Гости): 15.23%; Ничья: 21.22%. Для исхода «JEF United Chiba (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.57. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.80, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.54%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.01%EV +3.54%E +0.520%K +0.610%G +0.022% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -2.40%E -0.523%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.01%EV +3.54%E +0.520%K +0.610%G +0.022% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -2.40%E -0.523%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.72%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.76I 14.79%NM 14.27%EV +2.93%E +0.433%K +0.509%G +0.015% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.01%EV -2.62%E -0.570%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -1.03%E -0.158%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-21 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -1.79%E -0.278%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -9.75%E -6.87%K -23.21%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -5.60%E -0.903%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.49%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.72%EV -7.73%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.79%EV -2.83%E -0.618%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 10:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 10:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -9.83%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 10:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.17%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -10.16%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -10.16%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.49%EV -9.75%E -6.87%K -23.21%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -11.69%E -2.02%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.13%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 09:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 10:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 10:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -16.26%E -2.96%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -17.78%E -3.29%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 09:59 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.4% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64% | 1.8% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35% | 1.8% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |