Idioma:Español
FC Tokyo v JEF United Chiba
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Tokyo (Local)
Predicción 63.56%1.57momio equitativo
EV -4.66%
Ventaja -3.11%
Kelly -9.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.54%63.59%63.50%65.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.72%68.97%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
JEF United Chiba (Visitante)
Predicción 15.23%6.57momio equitativo
EV +3.54%
Ventaja +0.520%
Kelly +0.610%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.01%15.19%15.24%17.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.256.056.006.8019.05%16.53%16.67%14.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.22%4.71momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -0.523%
Kelly -0.668%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.32%21.21%21.26%22.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.244.204.6025.00%23.56%23.81%21.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Tokyo (Local): 63.56%; JEF United Chiba (Visitante): 15.23%; Empate: 21.22%. Para JEF United Chiba (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.57. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.54%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.01%EV +3.54%E +0.520%K +0.610%G +0.022% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -2.40%E -0.523%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.27%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.01%EV +3.54%E +0.520%K +0.610%G +0.022% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -2.40%E -0.523%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.72%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.76I 14.79%NM 14.27%EV +2.93%E +0.433%K +0.509%G +0.015% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.01%EV -2.62%E -0.570%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -1.03%E -0.158%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-21 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -1.79%E -0.278%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.47%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -2.55%E -0.399%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -4.84%E -0.774%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -13.01%E -3.17%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -9.75%E -6.87%K -23.21%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -5.60%E -0.903%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.49%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.72%EV -7.73%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.79%EV -2.83%E -0.618%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 10:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -5.30%E -3.56%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 10:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.65%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -9.83%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 10:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 10:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.02%E -7.87%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.64%E -1.44%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.17%EV -7.21%E -4.94%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -10.16%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.71%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.53%EV -10.16%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.49%EV -9.75%E -6.87%K -23.21%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV -11.69%E -2.02%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.66%E -3.11%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.13%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 09:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 10:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.89%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 10:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.48%E -5.89%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.45%E -2.16%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.84%E -5.41%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -16.26%E -2.96%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -4.53%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.11%E -6.37%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -17.78%E -3.29%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -8.77%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -5.94%E -4.01%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -20.06%E -3.82%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.13%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 09:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.4% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.73% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.64% | 1.8% | 2026-08-21 10:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35% | 1.8% | 2026-08-21 10:25 |