Школа коэффициентов

Spezia v Monza

Начало: 2026-03-07 14:04 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Spezia (Хозяева)

Прогноз 25.80%3.88справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.12%
Преимущество +0.285%
Kelly +0.383%
Рост +0.004%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.92

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.99%25.70%25.79%26.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.553.503.9230.30%28.19%28.57%25.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Monza (Гости)

Прогноз 46.28%2.16справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.82%
Преимущество -1.34%
Kelly -2.57%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
45.05%46.33%46.25%48.29%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.801.982.002.1055.56%50.39%50.00%47.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.93%3.58справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.13%
Преимущество -0.319%
Kelly -0.445%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.54

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.77%27.97%27.96%29.38%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.243.253.5434.48%30.82%30.77%28.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle3.92I 25.51%NM 24.68%EV +1.12%E +0.285%K +0.383%G +0.004%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.19%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 13:59
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +0.602%E +0.154%K +0.207%G +0.001%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 13:58
1xBet3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -1.20%E -0.314%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -1.13%E -0.319%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 13:59
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.42%EV -7.91%E -3.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 13:59
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.42%EV -7.91%E -3.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:00
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -3.27%E -0.871%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -3.53%E -0.943%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -6.99%E -3.48%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:00
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.69%EV -3.28%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 14:00
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 13:59
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.82%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:00
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:00
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 13:59
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:00
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 13:59
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 13:59
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -11.61%E -6.08%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 14:00
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:00
theScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 13:59
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 13:59
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -8.38%E -4.23%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -12.02%E -3.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 13:59
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:00
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -15.32%E -8.37%K -18.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-07 14:00
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:00
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:00
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.07%EV -9.30%E -4.75%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 13:59
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 13:59
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Parions Sport (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -10.23%E -5.27%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 13:59
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -13.47%E -7.20%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-07 14:00
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 46.51%EV -16.70%E -9.28%K -20.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.87%EV -19.00%E -6.55%K -10.00%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-07 14:00
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.70%EV -13.59%E -4.06%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.53%EV -14.39%E -7.78%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-07 13:58
Betclic (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -14.88%E -4.51%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -14.88%E -4.51%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -12.08%E -6.36%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-03-07 14:00
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%3.3%2026-03-07 14:00