مدرسة الاحتمالات

Spezia v Monza

البداية: 2026-03-07 14:04 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Spezia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 25.80%3.88السعر العادل
EV +1.12%
الأفضلية +0.285%
Kelly +0.383%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.99%25.70%25.79%26.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.553.503.9230.30%28.19%28.57%25.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Monza (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.28%2.16السعر العادل
EV -2.82%
الأفضلية -1.34%
Kelly -2.57%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.05%46.33%46.25%48.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.982.002.1055.56%50.39%50.00%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.93%3.58السعر العادل
EV -1.13%
الأفضلية -0.319%
Kelly -0.445%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.77%27.97%27.96%29.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.243.253.5434.48%30.82%30.77%28.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.92I 25.51%NM 24.68%EV +1.12%E +0.285%K +0.383%G +0.004%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.19%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 13:59
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +0.602%E +0.154%K +0.207%G +0.001%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 13:58
1xBet3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -1.20%E -0.314%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -1.13%E -0.319%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 13:59
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.42%EV -7.91%E -3.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 13:59
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.42%EV -7.91%E -3.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:00
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -3.27%E -0.871%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -3.53%E -0.943%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -6.99%E -3.48%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:00
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.69%EV -3.28%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 14:00
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 13:59
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.82%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:00
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:00
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 13:59
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:00
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 13:59
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 13:59
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -11.61%E -6.08%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 14:00
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:00
theScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 13:59
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 13:59
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -8.38%E -4.23%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -12.02%E -3.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 13:59
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:00
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -15.32%E -8.37%K -18.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-07 14:00
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:00
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:00
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.07%EV -9.30%E -4.75%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 13:59
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 13:59
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Parions Sport (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -10.23%E -5.27%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 13:59
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -13.47%E -7.20%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-07 14:00
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 46.51%EV -16.70%E -9.28%K -20.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.87%EV -19.00%E -6.55%K -10.00%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-07 14:00
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.70%EV -13.59%E -4.06%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.53%EV -14.39%E -7.78%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-07 13:58
Betclic (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -14.88%E -4.51%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -14.88%E -4.51%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -12.08%E -6.36%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-07 14:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-03-07 14:00
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%3.3%2026-03-07 14:00