Szkoła Kursów

Spezia v Monza

Początek: 2026-03-07 14:04 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Spezia (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 25.80%3.88kurs godziwy
EV +1.12%
Przewaga +0.285%
Kelly +0.383%
Wzrost +0.004%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.92

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.99%25.70%25.79%26.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.553.503.9230.30%28.19%28.57%25.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Monza (Goście)

Prognoza 46.28%2.16kurs godziwy
EV -2.82%
Przewaga -1.34%
Kelly -2.57%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.05%46.33%46.25%48.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.801.982.002.1055.56%50.39%50.00%47.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.93%3.58kurs godziwy
EV -1.13%
Przewaga -0.319%
Kelly -0.445%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.54

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.77%27.97%27.96%29.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.243.253.5434.48%30.82%30.77%28.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle3.92I 25.51%NM 24.68%EV +1.12%E +0.285%K +0.383%G +0.004%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.19%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 13:59
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +0.602%E +0.154%K +0.207%G +0.001%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 13:58
1xBet3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -1.20%E -0.314%K -0.425%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -1.13%E -0.319%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 13:59
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.42%EV -7.91%E -3.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 13:59
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.42%EV -7.91%E -3.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:00
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -3.27%E -0.871%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -3.53%E -0.943%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -6.99%E -3.48%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:00
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.69%EV -3.28%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 14:00
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 13:59
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.82%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:00
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:00
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 13:59
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:00
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 13:59
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 13:59
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -11.61%E -6.08%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 14:00
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:00
theScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 13:59
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 13:59
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -8.38%E -4.23%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -12.02%E -3.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 13:59
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:00
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -15.32%E -8.37%K -18.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-07 14:00
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:00
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:00
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.07%EV -9.30%E -4.75%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-07 13:59
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 13:59
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Parions Sport (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -10.23%E -5.27%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 13:59
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -13.47%E -7.20%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-07 14:00
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 46.51%EV -16.70%E -9.28%K -20.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.87%EV -19.00%E -6.55%K -10.00%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-07 14:00
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.70%EV -13.59%E -4.06%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.53%EV -14.39%E -7.78%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-07 13:58
Betclic (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -14.88%E -4.51%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -14.88%E -4.51%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -12.08%E -6.36%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-03-07 14:00
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%3.3%2026-03-07 14:00