La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Spezia v Monza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Spezia (Local)
Predicción 25.80%3.88momio equitativo
EV +1.12%
Ventaja +0.285%
Kelly +0.383%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.99%25.70%25.79%26.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.553.503.9230.30%28.19%28.57%25.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Monza (Visitante)
Predicción 46.28%2.16momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.05%46.33%46.25%48.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.982.002.1055.56%50.39%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.93%3.58momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.319%
Kelly -0.445%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.77%27.97%27.96%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.243.253.5434.48%30.82%30.77%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.68%EV +1.12%E +0.285%K +0.383%G +0.004% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.19%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +0.602%E +0.154%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 13:58 |
| 1xBet | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -1.20%E -0.314%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -1.13%E -0.319%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.42%EV -7.91%E -3.98%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.42%EV -7.91%E -3.98%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -3.27%E -0.871%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -3.53%E -0.943%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -6.99%E -3.48%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.69%EV -3.28%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| BetUS | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.82%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -11.61%E -6.08%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -8.38%E -4.23%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -12.02%E -3.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Unibet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Casumo | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| betPARX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -15.32%E -8.37%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.07%EV -9.30%E -4.75%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Neds | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -10.23%E -5.27%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -13.47%E -7.20%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.51%EV -16.70%E -9.28%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.87%EV -19.00%E -6.55%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.70%EV -13.59%E -4.06%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.53%EV -14.39%E -7.78%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-07 13:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -14.88%E -4.51%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -14.88%E -4.51%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -12.08%E -6.36%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |