L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Spezia v Monza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Spezia (Local)
Prévision 25.80%3.88cote équitable
EV +1.12%
Avantage +0.285%
Kelly +0.383%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 3.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.99%25.70%25.79%26.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.553.503.9230.30%28.19%28.57%25.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Monza (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.28%2.16cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -2.57%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.05%46.33%46.25%48.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.982.002.1055.56%50.39%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.93%3.58cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.319%
Kelly -0.445%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.77%27.97%27.96%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.243.253.5434.48%30.82%30.77%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.68%EV +1.12%E +0.285%K +0.383%G +0.004% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.19%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +0.602%E +0.154%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 13:58 |
| 1xBet | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -1.20%E -0.314%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -1.13%E -0.319%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.42%EV -7.91%E -3.98%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.42%EV -7.91%E -3.98%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -3.27%E -0.871%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -3.53%E -0.943%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -6.99%E -3.48%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.69%EV -3.28%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| BetUS | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.82%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -11.61%E -6.08%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -8.38%E -4.23%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -12.02%E -3.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Unibet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Casumo | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| betPARX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -15.32%E -8.37%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.07%EV -9.30%E -4.75%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Neds | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -10.23%E -5.27%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -13.47%E -7.20%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.51%EV -16.70%E -9.28%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.87%EV -19.00%E -6.55%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.70%EV -13.59%E -4.06%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.53%EV -14.39%E -7.78%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-07 13:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -14.88%E -4.51%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -14.88%E -4.51%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -12.08%E -6.36%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |