La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Spezia v Monza
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Spezia (Casa)
Previsione 25.80%3.88quota equa
EV +1.12%
Vantaggio +0.285%
Kelly +0.383%
Crescita +0.004%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.92
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.99%25.70%25.79%26.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.553.503.9230.30%28.19%28.57%25.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Monza (Trasferta)
Previsione 46.28%2.16quota equa
EV -2.82%
Vantaggio -1.34%
Kelly -2.57%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.05%46.33%46.25%48.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.982.002.1055.56%50.39%50.00%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.93%3.58quota equa
EV -1.13%
Vantaggio -0.319%
Kelly -0.445%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.77%27.97%27.96%29.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.243.253.5434.48%30.82%30.77%28.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.68%EV +1.12%E +0.285%K +0.383%G +0.004% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.19%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +0.602%E +0.154%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 13:58 |
| 1xBet | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -1.20%E -0.314%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -1.13%E -0.319%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.42%EV -7.91%E -3.98%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.42%EV -7.91%E -3.98%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.98%E -0.521%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -3.27%E -0.871%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -3.53%E -0.943%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -6.99%E -3.48%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.69%EV -3.28%E -1.57%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| BetUS | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.82%E -1.34%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -11.61%E -6.08%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -3.64%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -8.38%E -4.23%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -12.02%E -3.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Unibet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Casumo | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| betPARX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.60%E -2.74%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -15.32%E -8.37%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -16.21%E -5.40%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -6.52%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.45%E -3.72%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.07%EV -9.30%E -4.75%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.56%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Neds | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -10.23%E -5.27%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -13.47%E -7.20%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -12.30%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.51%EV -16.70%E -9.28%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.87%EV -19.00%E -6.55%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.70%EV -13.59%E -4.06%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.53%EV -14.39%E -7.78%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-07 13:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -14.88%E -4.51%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.76%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -14.88%E -4.51%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -12.08%E -6.36%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |