預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Padova v Ascoli

開賽時間: 2026-09-12 13:03 UTC

最終賽果: Padova 1–0 Ascoli

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

56 家博彩公司 (22 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Padova (主隊)

預測 42.49%2.35公平賠率
EV -4.41%
優勢 -1.96%
Kelly -3.53%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.25

博彩公司預測分布
41.49%42.44%42.50%43.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.952.152.152.2551.28%46.58%46.51%44.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Ascoli (客隊)

預測 28.91%3.46公平賠率
EV -2.01%
優勢 -0.593%
Kelly -0.842%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.39

博彩公司預測分布
27.47%28.88%28.89%29.86%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.953.193.203.3933.90%31.32%31.25%29.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 28.61%3.50公平賠率
EV -2.73%
優勢 -0.803%
Kelly -1.14%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.40

博彩公司預測分布
27.68%28.68%28.61%29.60%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.953.183.203.4033.90%31.40%31.25%29.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Padova (主隊):42.49%;Ascoli (客隊):28.91%;和局:28.61%。 對於「Ascoli (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.46的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為3.39,期望值為-2.01%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (56 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:49
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 13:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -5.26%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 00:35
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -5.26%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.09%EV -2.01%E -0.593%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.21%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 10:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 10:45
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 02:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 13:00
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 08:15
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 08:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 08:20
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 02:10
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 09:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 09:09
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 09:10
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 09:09
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:05
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 17:04
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.97%EV -7.38%E -3.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.47%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.56%EV -6.16%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -8.23%E -3.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -5.19%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.16%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:15
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 00:35
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 00:35
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.95%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 09:09
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -9.82%E -3.15%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 13:13
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -9.82%E -3.15%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 13:14
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 09:09
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 13:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 02:10
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:00
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:00
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:00
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:00
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:00
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 23:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 00:35
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.17%E -4.72%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-07 18:10
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 13:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -11.63%E -5.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 00:34
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.51%EV -12.48%E -6.06%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 00:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-09 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-08 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -13.33%E -6.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -14.18%E -7.02%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.88%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-08 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -14.18%E -7.02%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.88%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-07 23:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.58%EV -15.45%E -7.77%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-08 13:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.67%EV -17.15%E -8.80%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.47%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.86%EV -15.60%E -5.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-08 00:00
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%4.4%2026-09-09 15:20
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%4.4%2026-09-09 16:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%4.4%2026-09-09 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%4.4%2026-09-09 15:20
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 42.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%5.7%2026-09-09 15:40