Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.39
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Padova (Casa): 42.49%; Ascoli (Trasferta): 28.91%; Pareggio: 28.61%. Per Ascoli (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.46. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.39, con un valore atteso del -2.01%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 00:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 13:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -5.26%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -5.26%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.09%EV -2.01%E -0.593%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.21%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 02:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 08:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 08:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 08:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 17:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.97%EV -7.38%E -3.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.47%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.56%EV -6.16%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -8.23%E -3.81%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -5.19%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.16%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.95%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -9.82%E -3.15%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 13:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -9.82%E -3.15%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 13:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 02:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.17%E -4.72%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -11.63%E -5.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 00:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.51%EV -12.48%E -6.06%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -13.33%E -6.53%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -14.18%E -7.02%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.88%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -14.18%E -7.02%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.88%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-07 23:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.58%EV -15.45%E -7.77%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-08 13:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.67%EV -17.15%E -8.80%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.47%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.86%EV -15.60%E -5.29%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.76% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.76% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.76% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.76% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.61% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |