Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.39
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Padova (Local): 42.49%; Ascoli (Visitante): 28.91%; Empate: 28.61%. Para Ascoli (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.46. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.39, con un valor esperado de -2.01%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 00:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 13:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -5.26%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -5.26%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.09%EV -2.01%E -0.593%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.21%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 02:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 08:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 08:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 08:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 17:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.97%EV -7.38%E -3.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.47%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.56%EV -6.16%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -8.23%E -3.81%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -5.19%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.16%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.95%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -9.82%E -3.15%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 13:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -9.82%E -3.15%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 13:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 02:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.17%E -4.72%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -11.63%E -5.59%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 00:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.51%EV -12.48%E -6.06%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -13.33%E -6.53%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -14.18%E -7.02%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.88%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -14.18%E -7.02%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.88%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-07 23:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.58%EV -15.45%E -7.77%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-08 13:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.67%EV -17.15%E -8.80%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.47%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.86%EV -15.60%E -5.29%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-09-08 00:00 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.76% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.76% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.76% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.76% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.61% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |