StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Padova v Ascoli

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 13:03 UTC

Slutresultat: Padova 1–0 Ascoli

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Padova (Hemma)

Prognos 42.49%2.35rättvist odds
EV -4.41%
Fördel -1.96%
Kelly -3.53%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.49%42.44%42.50%43.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.952.152.152.2551.28%46.58%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ascoli (Borta)

Prognos 28.91%3.46rättvist odds
EV -2.01%
Fördel -0.593%
Kelly -0.842%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.39

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.47%28.88%28.89%29.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.953.193.203.3933.90%31.32%31.25%29.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.61%3.50rättvist odds
EV -2.73%
Fördel -0.803%
Kelly -1.14%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.68%28.68%28.61%29.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.953.183.203.4033.90%31.40%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Padova (Hemma): 42.49%; Ascoli (Borta): 28.91%; Oavgjort: 28.61%. För Ascoli (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.46. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.39, med väntevärdet -2.01%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -2.73%E -0.803%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 00:49
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 13:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.71%EV -5.26%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -4.16%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 00:35
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -5.26%E -2.36%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.09%EV -2.01%E -0.593%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.21%EV -6.73%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 10:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 10:45
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 02:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 13:00
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 08:15
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 08:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 08:20
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 02:10
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 09:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.59%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 09:09
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 09:10
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 09:09
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:05
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 17:04
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.97%EV -7.38%E -3.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.47%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.56%EV -6.16%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -8.23%E -3.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -5.19%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.16%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 15:15
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 00:35
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 00:35
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -8.95%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 09:09
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -9.82%E -3.15%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 13:13
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.19%EV -9.82%E -3.15%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 13:14
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 09:09
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 13:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 02:10
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:00
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:00
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:00
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:00
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:00
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -9.93%E -4.68%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.17%E -0.946%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.45%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 23:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.02%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 00:35
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.17%E -4.72%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-07 18:10
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.28%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 13:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.89%EV -11.63%E -5.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 00:34
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.51%EV -12.48%E -6.06%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 00:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-09 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.90%E -6.29%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -9.88%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-08 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -13.33%E -6.53%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -14.18%E -7.02%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.88%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-08 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -14.18%E -7.02%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -7.50%E -2.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.88%EV -12.74%E -4.18%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-07 23:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.58%EV -15.45%E -7.77%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -11.31%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-08 13:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.67%EV -17.15%E -8.80%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.47%EV -10.39%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.86%EV -15.60%E -5.29%K -8.00%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-08 00:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%4.4%2026-09-09 15:20
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%4.4%2026-09-09 16:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%4.4%2026-09-09 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.76%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%4.4%2026-09-09 15:20
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 42.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%5.7%2026-09-09 15:40