Language:English
SC Verl v TSV Havelse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Verl (Local)
Prediction 73.76%1.36fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -3.16%
Kelly -13.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.58%73.98%73.51%76.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.251.3083.33%79.61%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TSV Havelse (Visit)
Prediction 11.33%8.82fair odd
EV +2.00%
Edge +0.222%
Kelly +0.250%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.17%11.34%11.40%13.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.737.509.0015.38%12.94%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 14.91%6.71fair odd
EV +4.36%
Edge +0.623%
Kelly +0.727%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.31%14.68%15.09%18.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.735.757.0022.22%17.44%17.39%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Verl (Local): 73.76%; TSV Havelse (Visit): 11.33%; Draw: 14.91%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.71. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.92%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +4.36%E +0.623%K +0.727%G +0.032% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 04:21 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.00%E +0.222%K +0.250%G +0.005% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV +4.36%E +0.623%K +0.727%G +0.032% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.46%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.77%EV -0.719%E -0.082%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.77%EV +2.12%E +0.310%K +0.363%G +0.008% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.52%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.36%EV -7.07%E -0.862%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.11%EV -1.60%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 04:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.52%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.36%EV -7.07%E -0.862%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.11%EV -1.60%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 04:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.96%EV -9.28%E -7.54%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -7.57%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 00:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -7.06%E -5.61%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.42%EV -8.20%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -9.06%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -7.06%E -5.61%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.42%EV -8.20%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -9.06%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -6.33%E -4.98%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.01%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.57%EV -0.832%E -0.095%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -6.33%E -4.98%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -12.17%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 11:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -3.67%E -0.431%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.92%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.58%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-02 03:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -23.50%E -3.48%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -12.04%E -2.04%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +2.00%E +0.222%K +0.250%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 07:36 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 07:36 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.39%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.52%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 69.58%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 12.85%EV -26.33%E -4.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 17.58%EV -29.18%E -6.14%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-05-02 11:23 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 70.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.21%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.69%EV -32.91%E -7.31%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-05-02 09:51 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.00% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.00% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.69% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.25% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.06% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |