L’École des cotesFrançais
SC Verl v TSV Havelse
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
SC Verl (Local)
Prévision 73.76%1.36cote équitable
EV -4.11%
Avantage -3.16%
Kelly -13.71%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.58%73.98%73.51%76.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.261.251.3083.33%79.61%80.00%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
TSV Havelse (Visiteur)
Prévision 11.33%8.82cote équitable
EV +2.00%
Avantage +0.222%
Kelly +0.250%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 9.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.17%11.34%11.40%13.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.737.509.0015.38%12.94%13.33%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 14.91%6.71cote équitable
EV +4.36%
Avantage +0.623%
Kelly +0.727%
Croissance +0.032%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.31%14.68%15.09%18.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.735.757.0022.22%17.44%17.39%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.92%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +4.36%E +0.623%K +0.727%G +0.032% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 04:21 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.00%E +0.222%K +0.250%G +0.005% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV +4.36%E +0.623%K +0.727%G +0.032% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.46%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.77%EV -0.719%E -0.082%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.77%EV +2.12%E +0.310%K +0.363%G +0.008% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.52%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.36%EV -7.07%E -0.862%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.11%EV -1.60%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 04:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.52%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.36%EV -7.07%E -0.862%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.11%EV -1.60%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 04:20 |
| Suprabets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.96%EV -9.28%E -7.54%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -7.57%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 00:03 |
| NordicBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -7.06%E -5.61%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.42%EV -8.20%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -9.06%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Betsson | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -7.06%E -5.61%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.42%EV -8.20%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -9.06%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -6.33%E -4.98%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.01%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.57%EV -0.832%E -0.095%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -6.33%E -4.98%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -12.17%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 11:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -3.67%E -0.431%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.92%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.58%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-02 03:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -23.50%E -3.48%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -12.04%E -2.04%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +2.00%E +0.222%K +0.250%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 07:36 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 07:36 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.39%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.52%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 69.58%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 12.85%EV -26.33%E -4.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 17.58%EV -29.18%E -6.14%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-05-02 11:23 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 70.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.21%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.69%EV -32.91%E -7.31%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-05-02 09:51 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.00% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.00% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.69% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.25% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.06% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |