La scuola delle quote

SC Verl v TSV Havelse

Inizio: 2026-05-02 12:00 UTC

Finale: SC Verl 4–0 TSV Havelse

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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42 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

SC Verl (Casa)

Previsione 73.76%1.36quota equa
EV -4.11%
Vantaggio -3.16%
Kelly -13.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.58%73.98%73.51%76.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.261.251.3083.33%79.61%80.00%76.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

TSV Havelse (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.33%8.82quota equa
EV +2.00%
Vantaggio +0.222%
Kelly +0.250%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.17%11.34%11.40%13.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.737.509.0015.38%12.94%13.33%11.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 14.91%6.71quota equa
EV +4.36%
Vantaggio +0.623%
Kelly +0.727%
Crescita +0.032%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.31%14.68%15.09%18.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.735.757.0022.22%17.44%17.39%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 74.92%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +4.36%E +0.623%K +0.727%G +0.032%6.8%2026-05-02 04:21
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.00%E +0.222%K +0.250%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV +4.36%E +0.623%K +0.727%G +0.032%7.4%2026-05-02 10:00
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 75.46%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.76I 11.42%NM 10.77%EV -0.719%E -0.082%K -0.093%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.77%EV +2.12%E +0.310%K +0.363%G +0.008%6.0%2026-05-02 11:05
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.52%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.36%EV -7.07%E -0.862%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.11%EV -1.60%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 04:20
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.52%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.36%EV -7.07%E -0.862%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.11%EV -1.60%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 04:20
Suprabets1.23I 81.30%NM 73.96%EV -9.28%E -7.54%K -40.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -7.57%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 00:03
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -7.06%E -5.61%K -27.17%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.42%EV -8.20%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -9.06%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Betsson1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -7.06%E -5.61%K -27.17%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.42%EV -8.20%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -9.06%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -6.33%E -4.98%K -23.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 00:00
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.01%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.57%EV -0.832%E -0.095%K -0.107%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 07:30
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -6.33%E -4.98%K -23.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 11:05
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 11:30
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 00:05
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 11:25
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 11:31
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -12.17%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 11:49
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -3.67%E -0.431%K -0.489%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 07:31
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 72.92%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.58%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-02 03:34
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -23.50%E -3.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -12.04%E -2.04%K -2.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-30 23:59
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +2.00%E +0.222%K +0.250%G +0.005%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:05
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 07:36
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 07:36
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 09:05
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.39%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.52%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 69.58%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.85%EV -26.33%E -4.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.58%EV -29.18%E -6.14%K -7.78%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-02 11:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 70.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.21%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.69%EV -32.91%E -7.31%K -9.40%G +0.000%18.9%2026-05-02 09:51
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.00%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%1.2%2026-05-02 11:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.00%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%1.2%2026-05-02 11:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.69%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.25%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.06%1.6%2026-05-02 11:55