语言:简体中文
SC Verl v TSV Havelse
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
SC Verl (主队)
预测 73.76%1.36公平赔率
EV -4.11%
优势 -3.16%
Kelly -13.71%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.30
博彩公司预测分布
69.58%73.98%73.51%76.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.201.261.251.3083.33%79.61%80.00%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
TSV Havelse (客队)
预测 11.33%8.82公平赔率
EV +2.00%
优势 +0.222%
Kelly +0.250%
增长率 +0.005%
假设最高赔率为 9.00
博彩公司预测分布
10.17%11.34%11.40%13.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.507.737.509.0015.38%12.94%13.33%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 14.91%6.71公平赔率
EV +4.36%
优势 +0.623%
Kelly +0.727%
增长率 +0.032%
假设最高赔率为 7.00
博彩公司预测分布
13.31%14.68%15.09%18.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.735.757.0022.22%17.44%17.39%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SC Verl (主队)：73.76%；TSV Havelse (客队)：11.33%；平局：14.91%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.71。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.00，对应+4.36%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (42 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.92%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +4.36%E +0.623%K +0.727%G +0.032% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 04:21 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.00%E +0.222%K +0.250%G +0.005% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV +4.36%E +0.623%K +0.727%G +0.032% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.46%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.77%EV -0.719%E -0.082%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.77%EV +2.12%E +0.310%K +0.363%G +0.008% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.52%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.36%EV -7.07%E -0.862%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.11%EV -1.60%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 04:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.52%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.36%EV -7.07%E -0.862%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.11%EV -1.60%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 04:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.96%EV -9.28%E -7.54%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -7.57%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 00:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -7.06%E -5.61%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.42%EV -8.20%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -9.06%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -7.06%E -5.61%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.42%EV -8.20%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -9.06%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -6.33%E -4.98%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.01%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.57%EV -0.832%E -0.095%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -6.33%E -4.98%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -12.17%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 11:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -3.67%E -0.431%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.92%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.58%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-02 03:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -23.50%E -3.48%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -12.04%E -2.04%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +2.00%E +0.222%K +0.250%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 07:36 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 07:36 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.39%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.52%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 69.58%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 12.85%EV -26.33%E -4.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 17.58%EV -29.18%E -6.14%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-05-02 11:23 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 70.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.21%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.69%EV -32.91%E -7.31%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-05-02 09:51 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.00% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.00% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.69% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.25% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.06% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |