مدرسة الاحتمالات

SC Verl v TSV Havelse

البداية: 2026-05-02 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: SC Verl 4–0 TSV Havelse

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

42 شركة مراهنات (12 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

SC Verl (المضيف)

التنبؤ 73.76%1.36السعر العادل
EV -4.11%
الأفضلية -3.16%
Kelly -13.71%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.58%73.98%73.51%76.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.261.251.3083.33%79.61%80.00%76.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

TSV Havelse (الضيف)

التنبؤ 11.33%8.82السعر العادل
EV +2.00%
الأفضلية +0.222%
Kelly +0.250%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.17%11.34%11.40%13.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.507.737.509.0015.38%12.94%13.33%11.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 14.91%6.71السعر العادل
EV +4.36%
الأفضلية +0.623%
Kelly +0.727%
النمو +0.032%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.31%14.68%15.09%18.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.735.757.0022.22%17.44%17.39%14.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (42 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 74.92%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +4.36%E +0.623%K +0.727%G +0.032%6.8%2026-05-02 04:21
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.00%E +0.222%K +0.250%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV +4.36%E +0.623%K +0.727%G +0.032%7.4%2026-05-02 10:00
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 75.46%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.76I 11.42%NM 10.77%EV -0.719%E -0.082%K -0.093%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.77%EV +2.12%E +0.310%K +0.363%G +0.008%6.0%2026-05-02 11:05
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.52%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.36%EV -7.07%E -0.862%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.11%EV -1.60%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 04:20
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.52%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.36%EV -7.07%E -0.862%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.11%EV -1.60%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 04:20
Suprabets1.23I 81.30%NM 73.96%EV -9.28%E -7.54%K -40.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -7.57%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 00:03
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -7.06%E -5.61%K -27.17%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.42%EV -8.20%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -9.06%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Betsson1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -7.06%E -5.61%K -27.17%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.42%EV -8.20%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -9.06%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -6.33%E -4.98%K -23.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 00:00
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.01%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.57%EV -0.832%E -0.095%K -0.107%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 07:30
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -6.33%E -4.98%K -23.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 11:05
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 11:30
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 00:05
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 11:25
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 11:31
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -12.17%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 11:49
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -3.67%E -0.431%K -0.489%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 07:31
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 72.92%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.58%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-02 03:34
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -23.50%E -3.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -12.04%E -2.04%K -2.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-30 23:59
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +2.00%E +0.222%K +0.250%G +0.005%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:05
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 07:36
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 07:36
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 09:05
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:15
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.39%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.52%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 69.58%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.85%EV -26.33%E -4.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.58%EV -29.18%E -6.14%K -7.78%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-02 11:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 70.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.21%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.69%EV -32.91%E -7.31%K -9.40%G +0.000%18.9%2026-05-02 09:51
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (3)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.00%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%1.2%2026-05-02 11:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.00%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%1.2%2026-05-02 11:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.69%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.25%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.06%1.6%2026-05-02 11:55