La escuela de los momiosEspañol
SC Verl v TSV Havelse
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SC Verl (Local)
Predicción 73.76%1.36momio equitativo
EV -4.11%
Ventaja -3.16%
Kelly -13.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.58%73.98%73.51%76.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.261.251.3083.33%79.61%80.00%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
TSV Havelse (Visitante)
Predicción 11.33%8.82momio equitativo
EV +2.00%
Ventaja +0.222%
Kelly +0.250%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.17%11.34%11.40%13.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.737.509.0015.38%12.94%13.33%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 14.91%6.71momio equitativo
EV +4.36%
Ventaja +0.623%
Kelly +0.727%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.31%14.68%15.09%18.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.735.757.0022.22%17.44%17.39%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.92%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +4.36%E +0.623%K +0.727%G +0.032% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 04:21 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.00%E +0.222%K +0.250%G +0.005% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV +4.36%E +0.623%K +0.727%G +0.032% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 10:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.46%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.77%EV -0.719%E -0.082%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.77%EV +2.12%E +0.310%K +0.363%G +0.008% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.52%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.36%EV -7.07%E -0.862%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.11%EV -1.60%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 04:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.52%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.36%EV -7.07%E -0.862%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.11%EV -1.60%E -0.243%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 04:20 |
| Suprabets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.96%EV -9.28%E -7.54%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -7.57%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 00:03 |
| NordicBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -7.06%E -5.61%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.42%EV -8.20%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -9.06%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Betsson | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.42%EV -7.06%E -5.61%K -27.17%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.42%EV -8.20%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -9.06%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.97%EV -6.33%E -4.98%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.01%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.57%EV -0.832%E -0.095%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 07:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -6.33%E -4.98%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 11:31 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -8.54%E -6.89%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -12.17%E -1.57%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 11:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -3.67%E -0.431%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 07:31 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.92%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.58%EV -10.55%E -1.76%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-02 03:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -23.50%E -3.48%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -12.04%E -2.04%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -14.28%E -2.48%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +2.00%E +0.222%K +0.250%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -7.80%E -6.24%K -31.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 07:36 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 07:36 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -9.33%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -18.00%E -3.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 09:05 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -4.11%E -3.16%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.02%E -8.21%K -45.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.39%EV -20.67%E -2.95%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.52%EV -21.73%E -4.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 69.58%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 12.85%EV -26.33%E -4.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 17.58%EV -29.18%E -6.14%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-05-02 11:23 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 70.09%EV -11.49%E -9.58%K -57.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.21%EV -15.00%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.69%EV -32.91%E -7.31%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-05-02 09:51 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.00% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.00% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.69% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.25% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.06% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |