Language:English
MSV Duisburg v TSV Havelse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Prediction 65.12%1.54fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -4.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.87%65.36%65.08%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.431.421.5075.19%69.98%70.42%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TSV Havelse (Visit)
Prediction 14.77%6.77fair odd
EV +6.38%
Edge +0.886%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.066%
assuming max odds 7.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.73%14.63%14.84%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.876.007.2020.00%17.05%16.67%13.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.11%4.97fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.257%
Kelly -0.322%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.98%20.01%20.08%22.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.384.334.9126.67%22.83%23.09%20.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: MSV Duisburg (Local): 65.12%; TSV Havelse (Visit): 14.77%; Draw: 20.11%. For TSV Havelse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.77. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -10.79%E -7.88%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV +6.38%E +0.886%K +1.03%G +0.066% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV +3.42%E +0.489%K +0.571%G +0.020% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.91I 14.47%NM 13.75%EV +2.09%E +0.303%K +0.354%G +0.007% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.35%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -0.270%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -0.270%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -10.14%E -7.35%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.96%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 14:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.73%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -3.96%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -10.14%E -7.35%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -5.44%E -0.850%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 14:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -6.92%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -6.49%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -6.92%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -6.49%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -7.66%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 14:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -8.19%E -5.81%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -8.40%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.59%EV -8.19%E -5.81%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 15:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -19.56%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 63.44%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.06%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.50%EV -24.59%E -6.56%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -11.44%E -8.41%K -31.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -21.69%E -4.09%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -14.53%E -3.42%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -11.44%E -8.41%K -31.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -26.13%E -5.23%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -24.59%E -6.56%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-01 14:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |