L’École des cotesFrançais
MSV Duisburg v TSV Havelse
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Prévision 65.12%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -4.65%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.87%65.36%65.08%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.431.421.5075.19%69.98%70.42%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
TSV Havelse (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.77%6.77cote équitable
EV +6.38%
Avantage +0.886%
Kelly +1.03%
Croissance +0.066%
avec la cote maximale 7.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.73%14.63%14.84%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.876.007.2020.00%17.05%16.67%13.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.11%4.97cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.257%
Kelly -0.322%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.98%20.01%20.08%22.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.384.334.9126.67%22.83%23.09%20.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -10.79%E -7.88%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV +6.38%E +0.886%K +1.03%G +0.066% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 14:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV +3.42%E +0.489%K +0.571%G +0.020% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.91I 14.47%NM 13.75%EV +2.09%E +0.303%K +0.354%G +0.007% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.35%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -0.270%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -0.270%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -10.14%E -7.35%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.96%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 14:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.73%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -3.96%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| Suprabets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -10.14%E -7.35%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -5.44%E -0.850%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 14:38 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -6.92%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -6.49%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -6.92%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -6.49%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -7.66%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 14:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -8.19%E -5.81%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -8.40%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Bovada | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.59%EV -8.19%E -5.81%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 15:19 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -19.56%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 63.44%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.06%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.50%EV -24.59%E -6.56%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -11.44%E -8.41%K -31.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -21.69%E -4.09%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -14.53%E -3.42%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -11.44%E -8.41%K -31.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -26.13%E -5.23%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -24.59%E -6.56%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-01 14:08 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |