La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
MSV Duisburg v TSV Havelse
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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MSV Duisburg (Casa)
Previsione 65.12%1.54quota equa
EV -2.33%
Vantaggio -1.55%
Kelly -4.65%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.87%65.36%65.08%68.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.431.421.5075.19%69.98%70.42%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
TSV Havelse (Trasferta)
Previsione 14.77%6.77quota equa
EV +6.38%
Vantaggio +0.886%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescita +0.066%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.73%14.63%14.84%17.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.876.007.2020.00%17.05%16.67%13.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 20.11%4.97quota equa
EV -1.26%
Vantaggio -0.257%
Kelly -0.322%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.91
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.98%20.01%20.08%22.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.384.334.9126.67%22.83%23.09%20.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -10.79%E -7.88%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV +6.38%E +0.886%K +1.03%G +0.066% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 14:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV +3.42%E +0.489%K +0.571%G +0.020% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.91I 14.47%NM 13.75%EV +2.09%E +0.303%K +0.354%G +0.007% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.35%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -0.270%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -0.270%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -10.14%E -7.35%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.96%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 14:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.73%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -3.96%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| Suprabets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -10.14%E -7.35%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -5.44%E -0.850%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 14:38 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -6.92%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -6.49%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -6.92%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -6.49%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -7.66%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 14:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -8.19%E -5.81%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -8.40%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Bovada | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.59%EV -8.19%E -5.81%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 15:19 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -19.56%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 63.44%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.06%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.50%EV -24.59%E -6.56%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -11.44%E -8.41%K -31.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -21.69%E -4.09%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -14.53%E -3.42%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -11.44%E -8.41%K -31.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -26.13%E -5.23%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -24.59%E -6.56%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-01 14:08 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |