La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
MSV Duisburg v TSV Havelse
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Predicción 65.12%1.54momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -4.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.87%65.36%65.08%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.431.421.5075.19%69.98%70.42%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
TSV Havelse (Visitante)
Predicción 14.77%6.77momio equitativo
EV +6.38%
Ventaja +0.886%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.066%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.73%14.63%14.84%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.876.007.2020.00%17.05%16.67%13.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.11%4.97momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.257%
Kelly -0.322%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.98%20.01%20.08%22.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.384.334.9126.67%22.83%23.09%20.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -10.79%E -7.88%K -29.17%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV +6.38%E +0.886%K +1.03%G +0.066% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 14:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV +3.42%E +0.489%K +0.571%G +0.020% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.91I 14.47%NM 13.75%EV +2.09%E +0.303%K +0.354%G +0.007% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.35%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -0.270%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -0.270%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 15:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -10.14%E -7.35%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.96%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 14:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.73%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -3.96%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-01 14:54 |
| Suprabets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -10.14%E -7.35%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -5.44%E -0.850%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 14:38 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -6.92%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -6.49%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -6.92%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -6.49%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -7.66%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 14:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -8.19%E -5.81%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -8.40%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 14:34 |
| Bovada | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.59%EV -8.19%E -5.81%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 15:19 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-01 14:29 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -19.56%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 63.44%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.06%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.50%EV -24.59%E -6.56%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-01 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -11.44%E -8.41%K -31.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -21.69%E -4.09%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -14.53%E -3.42%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-01 14:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -11.44%E -8.41%K -31.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -26.13%E -5.23%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -24.59%E -6.56%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-01 14:08 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 15:09 |