默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

MSV Duisburg v TSV Havelse

开赛时间: 2026-03-01 15:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

MSV Duisburg (主队)

预测 65.12%1.54公平赔率
EV -2.33%
优势 -1.55%
Kelly -4.65%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.50

博彩公司预测分布
60.87%65.36%65.08%68.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.431.421.5075.19%69.98%70.42%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

TSV Havelse (客队)

预测 14.77%6.77公平赔率
EV +6.38%
优势 +0.886%
Kelly +1.03%
增长率 +0.066%

假设最高赔率为 7.20

博彩公司预测分布
12.73%14.63%14.84%17.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.876.007.2020.00%17.05%16.67%13.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.11%4.97公平赔率
EV -1.26%
优势 -0.257%
Kelly -0.322%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.91

博彩公司预测分布
18.98%20.01%20.08%22.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.384.334.9126.67%22.83%23.09%20.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:MSV Duisburg (主队):65.12%;TSV Havelse (客队):14.77%;平局:20.11%。 对于“TSV Havelse (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.77。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为7.20,对应+6.38%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -10.79%E -7.88%K -29.17%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV +6.38%E +0.886%K +1.03%G +0.066%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 14:59
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV +3.42%E +0.489%K +0.571%G +0.020%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 15:14
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.91I 14.47%NM 13.75%EV +2.09%E +0.303%K +0.354%G +0.007%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.35%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -0.270%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -0.270%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 15:04
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -10.14%E -7.35%K -26.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.96%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 14:19
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.73%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -3.96%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-01 14:54
Suprabets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -10.14%E -7.35%K -26.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -5.44%E -0.850%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 14:38
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -6.92%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -6.49%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 14:34
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -6.92%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -6.49%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 14:44
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -7.66%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 14:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -8.19%E -5.81%K -19.97%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -8.40%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 14:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 14:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 14:34
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 14:34
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.59%EV -8.19%E -5.81%K -19.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 15:19
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 14:29
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 14:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 14:09
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -19.56%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-01 15:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 63.44%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.06%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.50%EV -24.59%E -6.56%K -8.94%G +0.000%18.5%2026-03-01 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 14:09
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 14:09
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 14:09
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -11.44%E -8.41%K -31.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-01 13:59
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -21.69%E -4.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -14.53%E -3.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -11.44%E -8.41%K -31.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -26.13%E -5.23%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -24.59%E -6.56%K -8.94%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-01 14:08
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%1.6%2026-03-01 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%1.6%2026-03-01 15:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%1.6%2026-03-01 15:09